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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: 36 minutesLiquidity: $1.4MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.4MEvent: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
0.1¢
Team Spirit
100.0¢
Aurora
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets6Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 28 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:353 trades$604.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Aurora · $5.2K net·28 wallets(1🐋)·$91.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAurora$59.9K@ 100¢·Netrol

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$799
6h
−$9.7K
tracked
$604.8K

28 verified profitable wallets: Aurora · $5.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +14.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 14.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-09 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 2 against Aurora.

•This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against Team Spirit.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between Team Spirit and Aurora in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 2 against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against Team Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
MedoD3P2 linked markets · $59.8K gross
Iztamox3 linked markets · $49.8K gross
0xe16d…5e302 linked markets · $49.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Aurora@ 86.0¢21m ago
Outcome checks pending
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Aurora@ 95.0¢28m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Team Spirit@ 6.0¢28m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Aurora54m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Aurora DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $4.2K → $968 · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Spirit; negative values favor Aurora. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAurora · $799
6hAurora · $9.7K
24hAurora · $9.7K

Team Spirit price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Spirit price. Aurora fills are converted to the complementary Team Spirit probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h37.0¢▼ below by 37.0pp
VWAP 7d37.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Team Spirit price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$9.6K
55¢
$250.4K
50¢
$52.3K
45¢
$23.1K
40¢
$10.5K
35¢
$12.6K
30¢
$41.0K
25¢
$21.0K
20¢
$23.6K
15¢
$6.8K
10¢
$21.7K
5¢
$17.5K
0¢
← now
$114.8K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAurora$59.9K@ 99.9¢
Netrol0x23c8…f293
🐋—11 minutes ago
SELLAurora$21.5K@ 99.9¢
FBIG0xa22b…3525
🐋—15 minutes ago
BUYAurora$12.5K@ 75.6¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAurora$13.4K@ 66.9¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit$30.7K@ 55.0¢
MedoD3P0x1550…5481
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit$12.4K@ 55.1¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAurora$16.2K@ 45.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit$10.0K@ 56.3¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAurora$13.4K@ 44.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAurora$24.7K@ 44.4¢
Netrol0x23c8…f293
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAurora$11.0K@ 41.0¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAurora$10.5K@ 43.0¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Diabolical-PrizeAurora$117.9K
BUY VWAP 53.5¢·20 fills
MedoD3PTeam Spirit$47.7K
BUY VWAP 55.7¢·5 fills
0xe16d…5e30Team Spirit$30.0K
BUY VWAP 52.3¢·10 fills
NetrolAurora$26.5K
BUY VWAP 44.4¢·2 fills
IztamoxAurora$19.6K
BUY VWAP 81.6¢·8 fills
Sunshine.SmileTeam Spirit$12.4K
BUY VWAP 55.1¢·1 fill
babyboy9Aurora$11.5K
BUY VWAP 70.0¢·2 fills
Sunshine.SmileAurora$10.5K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.