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Celtics vs. 76ers

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 1 minuteLiquidity: $118.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $173.6KEvent: Celtics vs. 76ers
23.5¢
Celtics
76.5¢
76ers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection53Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority84Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 90%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:98 trades$134.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 59%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:76ers · $17.1K net·5 wallets·$18.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUY76ers$22.3K@ 78¢·askilika

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

76ers pressure: $54.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$54.7K
6h
−$91.3K
tracked
$134.1K

5 verified profitable wallets: 76ers · $17.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 90% · priority 84

Since latest large flow: +8.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 8.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from 76ers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-16 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics".

•If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 16 at 7:00PM ET: If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Moneyloverman5 linked markets · $86.0K gross
ic4cream2 linked markets · $9.8K gross
omoi0i02 linked markets · $9.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY 76ers@ 69.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -3.0pp
MARKET SWEEPBUY 76ers@ 65.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp
Latest book event: 76ers UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $26.6K → $1.8K · 8s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Celtics; negative values favor 76ers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h76ers · $54.7K
6h76ers · $91.3K
24h76ers · $91.3K

Celtics price VWAP

Volume-weighted Celtics price. 76ers fills are converted to the complementary Celtics probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current23.5¢
VWAP 24h29.8¢▼ below by 6.3pp
VWAP 7d29.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Celtics price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$23.6K
30¢
$29.4K
25¢
$20.6K
20¢
← now
$60.5K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUY76ers$22.3K@ 77.9¢
askilika0x0979…8d9b
🐋—1 minute ago
BUY76ers$13.9K@ 65.7¢
Moneyloverman0x906f…88b4
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUY76ers$21.1K@ 63.6¢
Moneyloverman0x906f…88b4
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
55.5¢$74.8Kpriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
56.5¢$41.9Kpriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
59.5¢$20.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
0.0¢$5.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5
0.0¢$2.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5
0.0¢$2.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5
0.0¢$1.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5
0.0¢$135priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Moneyloverman76ers$44.6K
BUY VWAP 65.3¢·4 fills
askilika76ers$24.5K
BUY VWAP 77.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.