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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $766.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $915.5KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe
100.0¢
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0.1¢
Frances Tiafoe
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets24Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:261 trades$304.5K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · $24.4K net·13 wallets·$101.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAlejandro Davidovich Fokina$13.7K@ 99¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$514
6h
+$27.0K
tracked
$304.5K

13 verified profitable wallets: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · $24.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +47.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 47.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Frances Tiafoe in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Davidovich Fokina' if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Alejandro Davidovich Fokina20m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Alejandro Davidovich Fokina@ 53.0¢35m ago
15m INVALIDATED -24.0pp
Latest book event: Frances Tiafoe DOWN 6.5pp · near-book depth $13.6K → $2.4K · 6s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alejandro Davidovich Fokina; negative values favor Frances Tiafoe. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina · $514
6hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina · $27.0K
24hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina · $24.3K

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alejandro Davidovich Fokina price. Frances Tiafoe fills are converted to the complementary Alejandro Davidovich Fokina probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h54.3¢▲ above by 45.7pp
VWAP 7d54.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$32.3K
90¢
$0
85¢
$1.3K
80¢
$0
75¢
$8.3K
70¢
$33.4K
65¢
$5.2K
60¢
$1.2K
55¢
$12.4K
50¢
$38.3K
45¢
$59.7K
40¢
$52.9K
35¢
$34.5K
30¢
$2.9K
25¢
$11.3K
20¢
$6.3K
15¢
$4.3K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAlejandro Davidovich Fokina$13.7K@ 99.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYAlejandro Davidovich Fokina$13.1K@ 74.9¢
Lorolorota260x7998…4092
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAlejandro Davidovich Fokina$10.0K@ 38.4¢0x760f…326a🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Alejandro Davidovich Fokina$16.8K
BUY VWAP 43.7¢·2 fills
0x076d…8d4cFrances Tiafoe$13.2K
BUY VWAP 57.3¢·6 fills
Lorolorota26Alejandro Davidovich Fokina$13.1K
BUY VWAP 74.9¢·1 fill
Lorolorota26Frances Tiafoe$12.3K
BUY VWAP 69.1¢·2 fills
0x076d…8d4cAlejandro Davidovich Fokina$11.6K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·4 fills
UpTheBluesAlejandro Davidovich Fokina$10.5K
BUY VWAP 46.2¢·15 fills
0x760f…326aAlejandro Davidovich Fokina$10.0K
BUY VWAP 38.4¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.