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Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeSettlement: VitalityLiquidity: $723.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $818.4KEvent: Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
100.0¢
Vitality payout
0.0¢
MOUZ payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:220 trades$333.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 38 min agoofficial metadata 17 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:MOUZ · $21.9K net·14 wallets·$98.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVitality$22.2K@ 63¢·gvrgb326552g65

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Vitality. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-11 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 1 against MOUZ.

•This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 1 against Vitality.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between Vitality and MOUZ in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 1 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 1 against Vitality. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
juice-fruit2 linked markets · $129.8K gross
0x1610…ae493 linked markets · $64.5K gross
0x29b5…cc6c3 linked markets · $55.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Vitality1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Vitality1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Vitality@ 63.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Vitality@ 63.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Vitality DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $10.1K → $2.3K · 6s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Vitality; negative values favor MOUZ. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMOUZ · $2.3K
6hVitality · $61.5K
24hVitality · $61.5K

Vitality price VWAP

Volume-weighted Vitality price. MOUZ fills are converted to the complementary Vitality probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h72.5¢▲ above by 27.5pp
VWAP 7d72.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Vitality price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$94.9K
90¢
$3.8K
85¢
$8.7K
80¢
$6.7K
75¢
$8.6K
70¢
$25.0K
65¢
$36.3K
60¢
$80.6K
55¢
$10.4K
50¢
$11.5K
45¢
$24.4K
40¢
$9.3K
35¢
$4.3K
30¢
$9.4K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYVitality$19.5K@ 99.9¢
depresssin0xcc77…c035
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYVitality$11.0K@ 65.0¢0x58a2…c1c2🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYVitality$22.2K@ 63.0¢
gvrgb326552g650x676c…e139
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
91.5¢$1.9Mpriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
84.7¢$506.0Kpriority71Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
75.5¢$157.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
39.5¢$143.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)
56.0¢$87.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winner
65.5¢$7.0Kpriority68Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$1.5Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
65.5¢$1.4Mpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

gvrgb326552g65Vitality$22.2K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill
depresssinVitality$19.5K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
0x58a2…c1c2Vitality$19.2K
BUY VWAP 64.6¢·2 fills
5e46hVitality$18.8K
BUY VWAP 94.8¢·8 fills
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fMOUZ$14.9K
BUY VWAP 41.1¢·8 fills
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fVitality$14.8K
BUY VWAP 57.7¢·6 fills
Dragon-EvolutionVitality$10.3K
BUY VWAP 47.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.