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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $310.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $142.7KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar
74.5¢
Jiri Lehecka
25.5¢
Rafael Jodar
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets18Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:86 trades$37.2K trackedsource coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Rafael Jodar · $4.9K net·7 wallets·$16.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJiri Lehecka$5.1K@ 76¢·Tobias1909

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Rafael Jodar pressure: $6.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$6.7K
6h
+$1.7K
tracked
$37.2K

7 verified profitable wallets: Rafael Jodar · $4.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 71% · priority 51

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Rafael Jodar or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Rafael Jodar in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jiri Lehecka advances against Rafael Jodar. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Jiri Lehecka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Jiri Lehecka UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $79.0K → $33.3K · 10s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jiri Lehecka; negative values favor Rafael Jodar. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRafael Jodar · $6.7K
6hJiri Lehecka · $1.7K
24hJiri Lehecka · $2.9K

Jiri Lehecka price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jiri Lehecka price. Rafael Jodar fills are converted to the complementary Jiri Lehecka probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current74.5¢
VWAP 24h71.6¢▲ above by 2.9pp
VWAP 7d71.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jiri Lehecka price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$4.5K
75¢
$16.0K
70¢
← now
$7.6K
65¢
$0
60¢
$3.1K
55¢
$5.9K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.