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LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $90.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $905.9KEvent: LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
55.5¢
KT Rolster
44.5¢
Team Vitality
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets4Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution92Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority44Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:302 trades$363.6K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1 min agoofficial metadata 38s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:KT Rolster · $699 net·14 wallets·$18.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKT Rolster$44.9K@ 68¢·madwish355

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Team Vitality pressure: $13.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$13.1K
6h
+$158.8K
tracked
$363.6K

14 verified profitable wallets: KT Rolster · $699 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 44

Since latest large flow: -17.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Vitality or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-12 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against Team Vitality.

•This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against KT Rolster.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 2 match between KT Rolster and Team Vitality in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against Team Vitality. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against KT Rolster. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
fkcvffcjt3 linked markets · $68.6K gross
vtcchampion526 linked markets · $64.5K gross
fantasy77883 linked markets · $60.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Team Vitality@ 62.0¢24m ago
15m INVALIDATED -17.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY KT Rolster@ 38.0¢25m ago
15m CONFIRMED +15.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY KT Rolster@ 70.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -31.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY KT Rolster@ 68.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h INVALIDATED -30.0pp
Latest book event: Team Vitality UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $1.3K → $495 · 14s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor KT Rolster; negative values favor Team Vitality. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Vitality · $13.1K
6hKT Rolster · $158.8K
24hKT Rolster · $197.8K

KT Rolster price VWAP

Volume-weighted KT Rolster price. Team Vitality fills are converted to the complementary KT Rolster probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current55.5¢
VWAP 24h67.6¢▼ below by 12.1pp
VWAP 7d67.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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KT Rolster price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$1.4K
85¢
$111.8K
80¢
$8.2K
75¢
$7.6K
70¢
$9.7K
65¢
$126.3K
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$18.3K
50¢
$5.0K
45¢
$4.8K
40¢
$6.8K
35¢
$66.5K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam Vitality$19.0K@ 63.8¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—28 minutes ago
BUYTeam Vitality$12.0K@ 34.2¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYKT Rolster$13.4K@ 68.0¢
Iostfd0xddc3…029c
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYKT Rolster$34.0K@ 68.0¢
vtcchampion520xc69b…2076
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYKT Rolster$44.9K@ 68.0¢
madwish3550x000e…f7e9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYKT Rolster$10.7K@ 89.0¢0x6683…de6b🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYKT Rolster$13.4K@ 88.0¢
MeiGuNiuBi0xdd88…dadb
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYKT Rolster$10.0K@ 88.1¢
bluemol0x664e…e82a
🐋—about 9 hours ago
BUYKT Rolster$10.1K@ 89.0¢0xb70c…34ca🐋—about 20 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$864.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$859.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 3 Winner
100.0¢$408.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
0.1¢$224.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)
0.1¢$206.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 4 Winner
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 4.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

madwish355KT Rolster$44.9K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·1 fill
vtcchampion52KT Rolster$41.6K
BUY VWAP 68.8¢·6 fills
fantasy7788Team Vitality$31.0K
BUY VWAP 47.8¢·2 fills
IostfdKT Rolster$14.4K
BUY VWAP 64.2¢·2 fills
0xe907…cff6KT Rolster$14.2K
BUY VWAP 58.1¢·13 fills
MeiGuNiuBiKT Rolster$13.6K
BUY VWAP 86.0¢·2 fills
0x6683…de6bKT Rolster$10.7K
BUY VWAP 89.0¢·1 fill
0xb70c…34caKT Rolster$10.1K
BUY VWAP 89.0¢·1 fill
bluemolKT Rolster$10.0K
BUY VWAP 88.1¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.