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China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Mirra Andreeva

Sports→TennisSettlement: Qinwen ZhengLiquidity: $944.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $887.0KEvent: China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Mirra Andreeva
100.0¢
Qinwen Zheng payout
0.0¢
Mirra Andreeva payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:264 trades$414.0K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 59 min agoofficial metadata 51 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Qinwen Zheng · $71.8K net·10 wallets·$86.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLQinwen Zheng$98.2K@ 100¢·Kkunn

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Qinwen Zheng. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-18 11:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Qinwen Zheng and Mirra Andreeva in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Qinwen Zheng' if Qinwen Zheng advances against Mirra Andreeva. This market will resolve to 'Mirra Andreeva' if Mirra Andreeva advances against Qinwen Zheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Qinwen Zheng@ 96.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Qinwen Zheng@ 39.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h INVALIDATED -8.0pp
Latest book event: Qinwen Zheng UP 3.5pp · near-book depth $37.0K → $10.1K · 14s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Qinwen Zheng; negative values favor Mirra Andreeva. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMirra Andreeva · $83.7K
6hQinwen Zheng · $2.1K
24hMirra Andreeva · $8.2K

Qinwen Zheng price VWAP

Volume-weighted Qinwen Zheng price. Mirra Andreeva fills are converted to the complementary Qinwen Zheng probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h74.5¢▲ above by 25.5pp
VWAP 7d74.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Qinwen Zheng price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$139.8K
90¢
$55.4K
85¢
$9.8K
80¢
$13.1K
75¢
$25.8K
70¢
$7.7K
65¢
$24.0K
60¢
$14.9K
55¢
$4.5K
50¢
$214
45¢
$19
40¢
$28.0K
35¢
$84.0K
30¢
$1.5K
25¢
$2.5K
20¢
$2.8K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLQinwen Zheng$98.2K@ 99.9¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLQinwen Zheng$23.7K@ 91.3¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYQinwen Zheng$14.7K@ 93.0¢
coinlaundry0xe8d7…1252
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYQinwen Zheng$20.0K@ 77.1¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYQinwen Zheng$10.2K@ 65.0¢
Yellow-Fever0xda85…1ca7
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMirra Andreeva$10.0K@ 61.4¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYQinwen Zheng$30.0K@ 40.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesQinwen Zheng$45.7K
BUY VWAP 84.7¢·19 fills
KkunnQinwen Zheng$38.6K
BUY VWAP 39.7¢·2 fills
hurricanQinwen Zheng$20.0K
BUY VWAP 77.1¢·1 fill
coinlaundryQinwen Zheng$16.5K
BUY VWAP 93.0¢·2 fills
Yellow-FeverQinwen Zheng$10.2K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill
beeemwMirra Andreeva$10.0K
BUY VWAP 61.4¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.