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Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha

Sports→TennisSettlement: Sumit NagalLiquidity: $694.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $289.9KEvent: Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha
100.0¢
Sumit Nagal payout
0.0¢
Henrique Rocha payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:114 trades$103.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 57 min agoofficial metadata 43 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Henrique Rocha · $3.6K net·15 wallets·$26.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLSumit Nagal$15.6K@ 100¢·0x216f…adbc

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Sumit Nagal. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-19 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sumit Nagal and Henrique Rocha in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sumit Nagal' if Sumit Nagal advances against Henrique Rocha. This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Sumit Nagal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 44m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 44m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xcc78…d2022 linked markets · $39 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Henrique Rocha DOWN 26.5pp · near-book depth $136 → $7.2K · 3s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sumit Nagal; negative values favor Henrique Rocha. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHenrique Rocha · $34.8K
6hHenrique Rocha · $50.2K
24hHenrique Rocha · $50.3K

Sumit Nagal price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sumit Nagal price. Henrique Rocha fills are converted to the complementary Sumit Nagal probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h57.9¢▲ above by 42.1pp
VWAP 7d57.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sumit Nagal price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$31.7K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$3.9K
65¢
$0
60¢
$7.0K
55¢
$4.7K
50¢
$2.9K
45¢
$8.3K
40¢
$7.2K
35¢
$12.4K
30¢
$4.9K
25¢
$4.2K
20¢
$6.3K
15¢
$2.2K
10¢
$5.7K
5¢
$1.6K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLSumit Nagal$15.6K@ 99.9¢0x216f…adbc🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xa711…280eHenrique Rocha$13.0K
BUY VWAP 64.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.