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Set Handicap: Murkel Dellien (-1.5) vs Luis Guto Miguel (+1.5)

Sports→TennisSettlement: NOLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien
0.0¢
YES payout
100.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome NO. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-19 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Murkel Dellien" if Murkel Dellien wins by 2 or more sets than Luis Guto Miguel, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Luis Guto Miguel."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Murkel Dellien can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Luis Guto Miguel."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Murkel Dellien and Luis Guto Miguel in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Murkel Dellien" if Murkel Dellien wins by 2 or more sets than Luis Guto Miguel, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Luis Guto Miguel." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Murkel Dellien can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Luis Guto Miguel." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 29m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 29m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xdeff…78f82 linked markets · $1.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $0
24hYES · $0
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien
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Set Handicap: Luis Guto Miguel (-1.5) vs Murkel Dellien (+1.5)
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Luis Guto Miguel vs. Murkel Dellien: Total Sets O/U 2.5
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Miguel vs. Dellien: Match O/U 21.5
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Set 2 Winner: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien
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Miguel vs. Dellien: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Miguel vs. Dellien: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Miguel vs. Dellien: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.