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Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $209.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $206.2KEvent: LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
0.1¢
KT Rolster
100.0¢
Team Vitality
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:71 trades$57.0K trackedsource coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 103 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Vitality · $5.3K net·3 wallets·$5.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKT Rolster$9.0K@ 44¢·esportGG

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$35.4K
tracked
$57.0K

3 verified profitable wallets: Team Vitality · $5.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 103 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-12 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster wins 3 or more games than Team Vitality in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Vitality".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 2 match between KT Rolster and Team Vitality in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster wins 3 or more games than Team Vitality in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Vitality". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining games required to decide the match, including a game in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
fkcvffcjt3 linked markets · $68.6K gross
vtcchampion526 linked markets · $64.5K gross
fantasy77883 linked markets · $60.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: KT Rolster DOWN 15.5pp · near-book depth $4 → $1 · 58s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor KT Rolster; negative values favor Team Vitality. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKT Rolster · $0
6hKT Rolster · $35.4K
24hKT Rolster · $33.4K

KT Rolster price VWAP

Volume-weighted KT Rolster price. Team Vitality fills are converted to the complementary KT Rolster probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h41.3¢▼ below by 41.2pp
VWAP 7d41.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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KT Rolster price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$8.6K
40¢
$44.7K
35¢
$62
30¢
$8
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$50
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$3.6K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
55.5¢$905.9Kpriority45Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$864.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$859.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 3 Winner
100.0¢$408.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
0.1¢$224.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
First Blood in Game 1?
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

lzh1KT Rolster$11.1K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·3 fills
esportGGKT Rolster$10.2K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.