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Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $31.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $209.8KEvent: LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
37.0¢
KT Rolster
66.0¢
Team Vitality
4.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets95Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution59Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:77 trades$101.9K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 59s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:KT Rolster · $4.9K net·3 wallets·$5.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKT Rolster$12.0K@ 74¢·0x4468…b165

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

KT Rolster pressure: $10.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$10.9K
6h
+$67.7K
tracked
$101.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: KT Rolster · $4.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
4.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 77% · priority 61

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Spread is 4.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from KT Rolster or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-12 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster wins 2 or more games than Team Vitality in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Vitality".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 2 match between KT Rolster and Team Vitality in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster wins 2 or more games than Team Vitality in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Vitality". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining games required to decide the match, including a game in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
vtcchampion524 linked markets · $56.4K gross
fantasy77882 linked markets · $29.4K gross
Jer-Predict3 linked markets · $24.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Team Vitality UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $81 → $74 · 5s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor KT Rolster; negative values favor Team Vitality. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKT Rolster · $10.9K
6hKT Rolster · $67.7K
24hKT Rolster · $97.7K

KT Rolster price VWAP

Volume-weighted KT Rolster price. Team Vitality fills are converted to the complementary KT Rolster probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current37.0¢
VWAP 24h70.4¢▼ below by 33.4pp
VWAP 7d70.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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KT Rolster price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$16.3K
70¢
$71.5K
65¢
$356
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.1K
50¢
$3.6K
45¢
$0
40¢
$8.5K
35¢
← now
$560
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKT Rolster$12.0K@ 74.0¢0x4468…b165🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYKT Rolster$11.8K@ 74.0¢
drunkdegenerate0xf184…c2d7
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYKT Rolster$10.0K@ 72.8¢
Hongweiqian0x462d…ce9b
🐋—about 7 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$852.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

drunkdegenerateKT Rolster$13.3K
BUY VWAP 73.9¢·2 fills
HongweiqianKT Rolster$13.3K
BUY VWAP 65.7¢·2 fills
0x4468…b165KT Rolster$12.0K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.