PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Mallorca: Maria Aran Teixido Garcia vs Laura Samson

● quote 32 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Mallorca: Maria Aran Teixido Garcia vs Laura Samson
6.8¢
Maria Aran Teixido Garcia
93.3¢
Laura Samson
2.5¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection49Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution53Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:30 trades$14.3K trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 30 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Laura Samson · $6.6K net·5 wallets·$6.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLaura Samson$7.0K@ 94¢·hd777

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Laura Samson pressure: $7.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$7.1K
6h
−$13.3K
tracked
$14.3K

5 verified profitable wallets: Laura Samson · $6.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.5¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 32 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 30 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Laura Samson or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Aran Teixido Garcia and Laura Samson in the Mallorca, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Aran Teixido Garcia' if Maria Aran Teixido Garcia advances against Laura Samson. This market will resolve to 'Laura Samson' if Laura Samson advances against Maria Aran Teixido Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Laura Samson DOWN 5.3pp · near-book depth $99 → $32.3K · 10s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maria Aran Teixido Garcia; negative values favor Laura Samson. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLaura Samson · $7.1K
6hLaura Samson · $13.3K
24hLaura Samson · $13.3K

Maria Aran Teixido Garcia price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maria Aran Teixido Garcia price. Laura Samson fills are converted to the complementary Maria Aran Teixido Garcia probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current6.8¢
VWAP 24h6.9¢▼ below by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d6.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Maria Aran Teixido Garcia price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$217
20¢
$80
15¢
$429
10¢
$526
5¢
← now
$13.1K
0¢
$14

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Mallorca: Completed Match: Maria Aran Teixido Garcia vs Laura Samson
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Garcia vs. Samson: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Garcia vs. Samson: Match O/U 21.5
100.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
51.5¢$1.2Mpriority41Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz
100.0¢$894.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
47.5¢$626.4Kpriority76Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.