Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
1 verified profitable wallet: Napoli Basket · $10 net over 7d.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 75% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•If the Napoli Basket win, the market will resolve to "Napoli Basket".
•If the Olimpia Milano win, the market will resolve to "Olimpia Milano".
In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for October 18 at 6:00AM ET: If the Napoli Basket win, the market will resolve to "Napoli Basket". If the Olimpia Milano win, the market will resolve to "Olimpia Milano". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Napoli Basket price VWAP
Largest holders
Napoli Basket price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.