PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Zizou Bergs

● quote 20 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $192.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $472.3KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Zizou Bergs
99.9¢
Tommy Paul
3.8¢
Zizou Bergs
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets59Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:161 trades$156.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 35 min agoofficial metadata 22 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tommy Paul · $29.7K net·12 wallets·$50.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTommy Paul$17.3K@ 92¢·xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Zizou Bergs pressure: $4.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.7K
6h
+$57.1K
tracked
$156.1K

12 verified profitable wallets: Tommy Paul · $29.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Since latest liquidity absorption: +5.4pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 20 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 35 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Zizou Bergs or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Zizou Bergs in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Zizou Bergs. This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xfb57…67192 linked markets · $70 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Tommy Paul@ 94.6¢56m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Tommy Paul@ 92.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Tommy Paul@ 92.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Tommy Paul@ 92.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Tommy Paul DOWN 3.8pp · near-book depth $14.6K → $7.4K · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tommy Paul; negative values favor Zizou Bergs. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hZizou Bergs · $4.7K
6hTommy Paul · $57.1K
24hTommy Paul · $58.3K

Tommy Paul price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tommy Paul price. Zizou Bergs fills are converted to the complementary Tommy Paul probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h82.7¢▲ above by 17.2pp
VWAP 7d82.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Tommy Paul price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$21.9K
90¢
$60.2K
85¢
$4.9K
80¢
$26
75¢
$25.4K
70¢
$0
65¢
$33.9K
60¢
$3.3K
55¢
$6.3K
50¢
$1
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTommy Paul$17.3K@ 92.0¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTommy Paul$11.9K@ 91.0¢
one8tyfive0xcf6c…7e66
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Tommy Paul (-1.5) vs Zizou Bergs (+1.5)
0.0¢$6.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tommy Paul vs. Zizou Bergs: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$4.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Tommy Paul (-2.5) vs Zizou Bergs (+2.5)
0.0¢$4.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Zizou Bergs
0.0¢$2.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Paul vs. Bergs: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$385priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Paul vs. Bergs: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢$116priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Paul vs. Bergs: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Paul vs. Bergs: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesTommy Paul$31.4K
BUY VWAP 84.1¢·13 fills
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseTommy Paul$22.5K
BUY VWAP 92.2¢·2 fills
one8tyfiveTommy Paul$16.2K
BUY VWAP 91.3¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.