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Set 2 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Zizou Bergs

Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $2.3KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Zizou Bergs
0.0¢
Tommy Paul
0.0¢
Zizou Bergs
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 51%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:1 trades$67 trackedsource coverage 3%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 122 min agoofficial metadata 117 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$67
tracked
$67

1 verified profitable wallet: Tommy Paul · $67 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 51% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 122 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Tommy Paul” if Tommy Paul wins set 2. It will resolve to “Zizou Bergs” if Zizou Bergs wins set 2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Zizou Bergs in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Tommy Paul” if Tommy Paul wins set 2. It will resolve to “Zizou Bergs” if Zizou Bergs wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xfb57…67192 linked markets · $70 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tommy Paul; negative values favor Zizou Bergs. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTommy Paul · $0
6hTommy Paul · $67
24hTommy Paul · $67

Tommy Paul price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tommy Paul price. Zizou Bergs fills are converted to the complementary Tommy Paul probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h66.3¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d66.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tommy Paul price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$67
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Zizou Bergs
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Set Handicap: Tommy Paul (-1.5) vs Zizou Bergs (+1.5)
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Tommy Paul vs. Zizou Bergs: Total Sets O/U 2.5
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Game Spread: Tommy Paul (-2.5) vs Zizou Bergs (+2.5)
0.0¢$4.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Paul vs. Bergs: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$385priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Paul vs. Bergs: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢$116priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Paul vs. Bergs: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Paul vs. Bergs: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.