Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Politics→Closes: over 2 yearsLiquidity: $323.8K24h Vol: $13.7M

41.8¢

YES

58.1¢

24.7¢

Spread

conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 1 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h

24h sample:101 trades60% YES40% NO

💡 Smart money 7d:YES 100%·5 wallets·$1.1K

🏆 Biggest bet:YES$34.1K@ 37¢·0x2225…24d1

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

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Market Analytics

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.

1h+$531

6h$3.8K

24h+$3.8K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.

Current41.8¢

VWAP 24h48.4¢▼ discount

VWAP 7d46.8¢

Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

$25.4K

60¢