Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Politics→Closes: over 2 yearsLiquidity: $808.0K24h Vol: $18.5M

0.9¢

YES

99.0¢

98.1¢

Spread

conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 2 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h

24h sample:55 trades40% YES60% NO

💡 Smart money 7d:NO 99%·8 wallets·$2.4K

🏆 Biggest bet:YES$3.5K@ 1¢·0x6452…30a1

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.

1h$169

6h$178

24h$887

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.

Current0.9¢

VWAP 24h60.1¢▼ discount

VWAP 7d93.3¢

Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢

$83.7K

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢