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Wuhan Tennis Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ann Li

● quote 14s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $323.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.7MEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ann Li
0.1¢
Aryna Sabalenka
100.0¢
Ann Li
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets28Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 19 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:364 trades$453.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 15 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Aryna Sabalenka · $48.2K net·19 wallets(3🐋)·$172.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAryna Sabalenka$39.0K@ 94¢·1827575782

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Aryna Sabalenka pressure: $85.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$85.0K
6h
+$174.1K
tracked
$453.9K

19 verified profitable wallets: Aryna Sabalenka · $48.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +11.6pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 15 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 11.6pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Aryna Sabalenka or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Ann Li in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Ann Li. This market will resolve to 'Ann Li' if Ann Li advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x4c07…62002 linked markets · $10.0K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $5.8K gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $3.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Ann Li@ 88.4¢54m ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.6pp
POSITION CHANGEBUY Aryna Sabalenka@ 95.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h INVALIDATED -41.1pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Aryna Sabalenka@ 95.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -18.6pp
Latest book event: Ann Li UP 30.1pp · near-book depth $236 → $4.2K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aryna Sabalenka; negative values favor Ann Li. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAryna Sabalenka · $85.0K
6hAryna Sabalenka · $174.1K
24hAryna Sabalenka · $174.7K

Aryna Sabalenka price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aryna Sabalenka price. Ann Li fills are converted to the complementary Aryna Sabalenka probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h51.8¢▼ below by 51.8pp
VWAP 7d51.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aryna Sabalenka price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$38.0K
90¢
$48.6K
85¢
$58.1K
80¢
$17.8K
75¢
$3.7K
70¢
$2.3K
65¢
$12.6K
60¢
$7.0K
55¢
$32.1K
50¢
$18.3K
45¢
$13.5K
40¢
$19.8K
35¢
$3.9K
30¢
$5.9K
25¢
$7.5K
20¢
$17.0K
15¢
$77.7K
10¢
$28.5K
5¢
$10.2K
0¢
← now
$31.2K

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAryna Sabalenka$13.6K@ 58.9¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—28 minutes ago
SELLAnn Li$10.5K@ 85.0¢
dmoralez0x492b…45ee
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAnn Li$28.5K@ 85.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAryna Sabalenka$11.2K@ 97.8¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAryna Sabalenka$10.0K@ 98.0¢
Gumayusi980x5bc6…eff4
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAryna Sabalenka$39.0K@ 94.0¢
18275757820x2798…0b7d
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAryna Sabalenka$27.5K@ 88.0¢
18275757820x2798…0b7d
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

1827575782Aryna Sabalenka$66.5K
BUY VWAP 91.4¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Aryna Sabalenka$26.2K
BUY VWAP 15.1¢·4 fills
ferrariChampions2026Ann Li$21.9K
BUY VWAP 10.9¢·7 fills
UpTheBluesAryna Sabalenka$19.9K
BUY VWAP 65.8¢·14 fills
fkcvffcjtAryna Sabalenka$18.3K
BUY VWAP 49.6¢·3 fills
FlaznorpAryna Sabalenka$14.6K
BUY VWAP 95.9¢·5 fills
FlaznorpAnn Li$14.5K
BUY VWAP 26.5¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesAnn Li$13.5K
BUY VWAP 31.0¢·9 fills
Gumayusi98Aryna Sabalenka$10.0K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.