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Set 1 Winner: Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko

Sports→TennisSettlement: Sonay KartalLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $2.8KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko
100.0¢
Sonay Kartal payout
0.0¢
Jelena Ostapenko payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:6 trades$413 trackedsource coverage 15%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 75 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Sonay Kartal. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-24 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Sonay Kartal” if Sonay Kartal wins the first set. It will resolve to “Jelena Ostapenko” if Jelena Ostapenko wins the first set.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sonay Kartal and Jelena Ostapenko in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Sonay Kartal” if Sonay Kartal wins the first set. It will resolve to “Jelena Ostapenko” if Jelena Ostapenko wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 29m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 29m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $1.6K gross
0x30f6…004f2 linked markets · $367 gross
0xc124…bd0f2 linked markets · $21 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sonay Kartal; negative values favor Jelena Ostapenko. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSonay Kartal · $268
6hSonay Kartal · $267
24hSonay Kartal · $289

Sonay Kartal price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sonay Kartal price. Jelena Ostapenko fills are converted to the complementary Sonay Kartal probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h61.5¢▲ above by 38.5pp
VWAP 7d61.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sonay Kartal price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$5
65¢
$329
60¢
$0
55¢
$22
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$28
35¢
$0
30¢
$28
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$1
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Wuhan Tennis Open: Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko
100.0¢$399.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko
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Set Handicap: Sonay Kartal (-1.5) vs Jelena Ostapenko (+1.5)
0.0¢$1.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sonay Kartal vs. Jelena Ostapenko: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$483priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Sonay Kartal (-1.5) vs Jelena Ostapenko (+1.5)
0.0¢$195priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kartal vs. Ostapenko: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kartal vs. Ostapenko: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kartal vs. Ostapenko: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.