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European Open, Qualification: Kimmer Coppejans vs Andrea Guerrieri

● quote 327 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $138.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $111.5KEvent: European Open, Qualification: Kimmer Coppejans vs Andrea Guerrieri
2.7¢
Kimmer Coppejans
99.9¢
Andrea Guerrieri
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets18Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:92 trades$16.2K trackedsource coverage 15%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 369 min agoofficial metadata 329 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Andrea Guerrieri · $1.3K net·5 wallets·$7.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAndrea Guerrieri$3.4K@ 97¢·Flaznorp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$16.2K

5 verified profitable wallets: Andrea Guerrieri · $1.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 327 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 369 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 329 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 13:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kimmer Coppejans and Andrea Guerrieri in the European Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kimmer Coppejans' if Kimmer Coppejans advances against Andrea Guerrieri. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Guerrieri' if Andrea Guerrieri advances against Kimmer Coppejans. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Andrea Guerrieri DOWN 3.3pp · near-book depth $10.1K → $4.8K · 8s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kimmer Coppejans; negative values favor Andrea Guerrieri. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKimmer Coppejans · $0
6hKimmer Coppejans · $0
24hAndrea Guerrieri · $1.1K

Kimmer Coppejans price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kimmer Coppejans price. Andrea Guerrieri fills are converted to the complementary Kimmer Coppejans probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current2.7¢
VWAP 24h20.0¢▼ below by 17.3pp
VWAP 7d20.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kimmer Coppejans price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$381
40¢
$44
35¢
$4.7K
30¢
$2.3K
25¢
$38
20¢
$0
15¢
$2.0K
10¢
$93
5¢
$17
0¢
← now
$6.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.