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Set Handicap: Kimberly Birrell (-1.5) vs Sonay Kartal (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $3.8KEvent: Japan Women's Open: Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrell
0.0¢
Kimberly Birrell
0.0¢
Sonay Kartal
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 51%
24h sample:3 trades$204 trackedsource coverage 5%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 773 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$204

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 51% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 773 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Kimberly Birrell" if Kimberly Birrell wins by 2 or more sets than Sonay Kartal, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Sonay Kartal."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Kimberly Birrell can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Sonay Kartal."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kimberly Birrell and Sonay Kartal in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Kimberly Birrell" if Kimberly Birrell wins by 2 or more sets than Sonay Kartal, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Sonay Kartal." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Kimberly Birrell can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Sonay Kartal." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kimberly Birrell; negative values favor Sonay Kartal. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKimberly Birrell · $0
6hKimberly Birrell · $0
24hSonay Kartal · $204

Kimberly Birrell price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kimberly Birrell price. Sonay Kartal fills are converted to the complementary Kimberly Birrell probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h23.0¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d23.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kimberly Birrell price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$204
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Japan Women's Open: Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrell
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Kartal vs. Birrell: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
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Kartal vs. Birrell: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kartal vs. Birrell: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kartal vs. Birrell: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Sonay Kartal (-4.5) vs Kimberly Birrell (+4.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrell
66.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sonay Kartal vs. Kimberly Birrell: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.