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Dota 2: Nix Team vs Stariy bog Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $41.6KEvent: Dota 2: Nix Team vs Stariy bog Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Playoffs
10.5¢
Nix Team
89.5¢
Stariy bog Team
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection76Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets87Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution35Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 70%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:54 trades$7.8K trackedsource coverage 19%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nix Team · $1.1K net·6 wallets·$1.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNix Team$4.0K@ 70¢·novatechsyst

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Nix Team pressure: $5.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.9K
6h
+$5.0K
tracked
$7.8K

6 verified profitable wallets: Nix Team · $1.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 70% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Nix Team or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-18 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Nix Team" if Nix Team win the match against Stariy bog Team.

•This market will resolve to "Stariy bog Team" if Stariy bog Team win the match against Nix Team.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Semifinal match between Nix Team and Stariy bog Team in the 1win Streamers League #3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nix Team" if Nix Team win the match against Stariy bog Team. This market will resolve to "Stariy bog Team" if Stariy bog Team win the match against Nix Team. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 17, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
22th3 linked markets · $1.9K gross
kozakdota2 linked markets · $1.5K gross
anyjezz2 linked markets · $1.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Stariy bog Team UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $71 → $72 · 11s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nix Team; negative values favor Stariy bog Team. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNix Team · $5.9K
6hNix Team · $5.0K
24hNix Team · $5.0K

Nix Team price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nix Team price. Stariy bog Team fills are converted to the complementary Nix Team probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current10.5¢
VWAP 24h66.8¢▼ below by 56.3pp
VWAP 7d66.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nix Team price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$5
90¢
$182
85¢
$58
80¢
$272
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.2K
65¢
$4.1K
60¢
$260
55¢
$101
50¢
$1.4K
45¢
$133
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$45
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
← now
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.