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Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-1.5)

● quote 326 min ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries
52.5¢
Golden State Valkyries
47.5¢
Atlanta Dream
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:1 trades$18 trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 290 min agoofficial metadata 2010 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$18
tracked
$18

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 326 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 290 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 2010 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-20 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries" if the Golden State Valkyries win the game by 2 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for October 19 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries" if the Golden State Valkyries win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x0c15…9a452 linked markets · $4.0K gross
UpTheBlues2 linked markets · $462 gross
iWasEnough2 linked markets · $14 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Golden State Valkyries; negative values favor Atlanta Dream. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGolden State Valkyries · $0
6hAtlanta Dream · $18
24hAtlanta Dream · $18

Golden State Valkyries price VWAP

Volume-weighted Golden State Valkyries price. Atlanta Dream fills are converted to the complementary Golden State Valkyries probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.5¢
VWAP 24h52.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d52.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Golden State Valkyries price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$18
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 152.5
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.