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Florence: Miguel Damas vs Samuele Pieri

Sports→TennisSettlement: Samuele PieriLiquidity: $145.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $132.5KEvent: Florence: Miguel Damas vs Samuele Pieri
0.0¢
Miguel Damas payout
100.0¢
Samuele Pieri payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:54 trades$20.0K trackedsource coverage 15%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 42 min agoofficial metadata 19 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Miguel Damas · $12.7K net·9 wallets·$12.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLSamuele Pieri$5.2K@ 100¢·0xNuttawut

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Samuele Pieri. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-26 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Damas and Samuele Pieri in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Damas' if Miguel Damas advances against Samuele Pieri. This market will resolve to 'Samuele Pieri' if Samuele Pieri advances against Miguel Damas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 20m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 20m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Samuele Pieri UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $8.7K → $1.6K · 27s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Miguel Damas; negative values favor Samuele Pieri. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiguel Damas · $14.0K
6hMiguel Damas · $19.5K
24hMiguel Damas · $19.5K

Miguel Damas price VWAP

Volume-weighted Miguel Damas price. Samuele Pieri fills are converted to the complementary Miguel Damas probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h15.7¢▼ below by 15.7pp
VWAP 7d15.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Miguel Damas price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$18
60¢
$172
55¢
$2.5K
50¢
$1.5K
45¢
$89
40¢
$137
35¢
$97
30¢
$1.1K
25¢
$121
20¢
$6
15¢
$100
10¢
$70
5¢
$1.0K
0¢
← now
$13.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.