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Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

Sports→TennisSettlement: Nikoloz BasilashviliLiquidity: $89.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $399.6KEvent: Almaty Open: Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
0.0¢
Marin Cilic payout
100.0¢
Nikoloz Basilashvili payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:123 trades$89.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 53 min agoofficial metadata 30 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nikoloz Basilashvili · $3.9K net·8 wallets·$6.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNikoloz Basilashvili$64.7K@ 79¢·robustmst

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Nikoloz Basilashvili. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-26 09:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marin Cilic and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Marin Cilic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 31m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 31m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $153 gross
0xbfd7…f0bf2 linked markets · $31 gross
0x0d10…780b2 linked markets · $6 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Marin Cilic UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $11.2K → $1.1K · 16s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marin Cilic; negative values favor Nikoloz Basilashvili. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMarin Cilic · $68.7K
6hMarin Cilic · $51.2K
24hMarin Cilic · $51.3K

Marin Cilic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marin Cilic price. Nikoloz Basilashvili fills are converted to the complementary Marin Cilic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h25.3¢▼ below by 25.3pp
VWAP 7d25.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marin Cilic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$5.0K
45¢
$6.3K
40¢
$7.4K
35¢
$471
30¢
$505
25¢
$0
20¢
$64.9K
15¢
$850
10¢
$41
5¢
$111
0¢
← now
$4.3K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLNikoloz Basilashvili$64.7K@ 79.1¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

robustmstNikoloz Basilashvili$10.0K
BUY VWAP 50.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.