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Beijing Ducks vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions

Sports→BasketballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $11.2KEvent: Beijing Ducks vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Beijing Ducks
—
Guangzhou Loong Lions
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 53%
24h sample:14 trades$1.4K trackedsource coverage 13%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 374 min agoofficial metadata 245 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBeijing Ducks$1.4K@ 88¢·cloture

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$1.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 53% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 374 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 11:35 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.flashscore.com/basketball/china/cba
Outcome meaning

•If the Beijing Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Beijing Ducks".

•If the Guangzhou Loong Lions win, the market will resolve to "Guangzhou Loong Lions".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 7:35AM ET: If the Beijing Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Beijing Ducks". If the Guangzhou Loong Lions win, the market will resolve to "Guangzhou Loong Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Beijing Ducks; negative values favor Guangzhou Loong Lions. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBeijing Ducks · $0
6hBeijing Ducks · $0
24hGuangzhou Loong Lions · $680

Beijing Ducks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Beijing Ducks price. Guangzhou Loong Lions fills are converted to the complementary Beijing Ducks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h98.71¢
VWAP 7d93.33¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Beijing Ducks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$1.3K
90¢
$92
85¢
$1.4K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.