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Set Handicap: Luciano Darderi (-1.5) vs James Duckworth (+1.5)

Sports→TennisSettlement: James Duckworth.Liquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $43Event: Almaty Open: James Duckworth vs Luciano Darderi
0.0¢
Luciano Darderi payout
100.0¢
James Duckworth. payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:1 trades$7 trackedsource coverage 16%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 259 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome James Duckworth.. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-28 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Luciano Darderi" if Luciano Darderi wins by 2 or more sets than James Duckworth, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "James Duckworth."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Luciano Darderi can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "James Duckworth."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and James Duckworth in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Luciano Darderi" if Luciano Darderi wins by 2 or more sets than James Duckworth, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "James Duckworth." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Luciano Darderi can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "James Duckworth." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 28m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 28m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Luciano Darderi; negative values favor James Duckworth.. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLuciano Darderi · $0
6hLuciano Darderi · $7
24hLuciano Darderi · $7

Luciano Darderi price VWAP

Volume-weighted Luciano Darderi price. James Duckworth. fills are converted to the complementary Luciano Darderi probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h31.0¢▼ below by 31.0pp
VWAP 7d31.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Luciano Darderi price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$7
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.