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Counter-Strike: Alliance vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs

Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeSettlement: PRIVATELiquidity: $351.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $375.1KEvent: Counter-Strike: Alliance vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs
0.0¢
Alliance payout
100.0¢
PRIVATE payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:166 trades$110.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 75 min agoofficial metadata 50 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alliance · $9.5K net·7 wallets·$10.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPRIVATE$10.5K@ 42¢·fraagen

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome PRIVATE. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-20 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against PRIVATE.

•This market will resolve to "PRIVATE" if PRIVATE win the match against Alliance.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Round 1 match between Alliance and PRIVATE in the 1win Private Club Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against PRIVATE. This market will resolve to "PRIVATE" if PRIVATE win the match against Alliance. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 20, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 50m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 50m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
aaaa2983 linked markets · $14.0K gross
N1koTop12 linked markets · $6.8K gross
kid8172 linked markets · $6.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: PRIVATE UP 8.5pp · near-book depth $5.8K → $2.3K · 7s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alliance; negative values favor PRIVATE. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlliance · $23.7K
6hAlliance · $35.9K
24hAlliance · $41.7K

Alliance price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alliance price. PRIVATE fills are converted to the complementary Alliance probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h38.2¢▼ below by 38.2pp
VWAP 7d38.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alliance price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$8.1K
55¢
$46.8K
50¢
$415
45¢
$3.5K
40¢
$283
35¢
$12.9K
30¢
$86
25¢
$5.2K
20¢
$1.1K
15¢
$4.4K
10¢
$248
5¢
$7.9K
0¢
← now
$19.9K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPRIVATE$10.5K@ 42.0¢
fraagen0x90c7…2934
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fraagenPRIVATE$10.5K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.