PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: SMU (-30.5)

Sports→American FootballSettlement: SMULiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $616Event: California vs. SMU
100.0¢
SMU payout
0.0¢
California payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:1 trades$1 trackedsource coverage 0%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 182 min agoofficial metadata 85 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome SMU. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-24 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game by 31 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "California".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game by 31 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "California". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoii2 linked markets · $8.8K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $4.8K gross
gagarin592 linked markets · $2.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor SMU; negative values favor California. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSMU · $0
6hCalifornia · $1
24hCalifornia · $1

SMU price VWAP

Volume-weighted SMU price. California fills are converted to the complementary SMU probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h59.4¢▲ above by 40.6pp
VWAP 7d59.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

SMU price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
99.95¢$4.8Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
99.95¢$4.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)
99.95¢$1.9Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
—$1.5Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
19.25¢$816.2Kpriority37Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova
—$798.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India
33.0¢$681.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B
0.05¢$661.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.