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Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe

● quote 627 min ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $77.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $309.2KEvent: Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe

Indicative prices · 627 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Afghanistan
0.1¢
Zimbabwe
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets35Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution26Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:83 trades$133.0K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 721 min agoofficial metadata 625 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Zimbabwe · $2.2K net·3 wallets·$6.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAfghanistan$34.8K@ 97¢·Hashbrown

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$133.0K

3 verified profitable wallets: Zimbabwe · $2.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 627 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 721 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 625 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 14:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the cricket match between Afghanistan and Zimbabwe scheduled for October 27 2026 at 10:30 AM ET in Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Afghanistan UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $39.6K → $2.2K · 13s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Afghanistan; negative values favor Zimbabwe. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAfghanistan · $0
6hAfghanistan · $0
24hAfghanistan · $102.0K

Afghanistan price VWAP

Volume-weighted Afghanistan price. Zimbabwe fills are converted to the complementary Afghanistan probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h92.99¢▲ above by 6.9pp
VWAP 7d92.76¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Afghanistan price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$90.1K
90¢
$25.1K
85¢
$2.4K
80¢
$2.2K
75¢
$6.5K
70¢
$2
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.2K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$6.3K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAfghanistan$10.8K@ 99.9¢
5343120x16da…81b7
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYAfghanistan$25.1K@ 99.9¢
dpk-5010x519b…624e
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYAfghanistan$34.8K@ 96.98¢
Hashbrown0xa52b…9480
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYAfghanistan$14.8K@ 90.74¢0x01af…7bc2🐋—about 14 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HashbrownAfghanistan$45.2K
BUY VWAP 95.34¢·3 fills
dpk-501Afghanistan$25.1K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
0x01af…7bc2Afghanistan$14.8K
BUY VWAP 90.74¢·1 fill
534312Afghanistan$10.8K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
dips.Afghanistan$10.6K
BUY VWAP 93.22¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.