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Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov

● quote 123 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $187.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $524.9KEvent: Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov

Indicative prices · 123 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Flavio Cobolli
0.1¢
Grigor Dimitrov
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets22Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:230 trades$181.6K trackedsource coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 128 min agoofficial metadata 123 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Flavio Cobolli · $18.1K net·15 wallets·$84.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFlavio Cobolli$9.1K@ 53¢·0x076d…8d4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$12.9K
tracked
$181.6K

15 verified profitable wallets: Flavio Cobolli · $18.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 123 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 128 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 123 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Grigor Dimitrov in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Grigor Dimitrov. This market will resolve to 'Grigor Dimitrov' if Grigor Dimitrov advances against Flavio Cobolli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
kamloic2 linked markets · $10.9K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $9.6K gross
Ivan9482 linked markets · $3.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Flavio Cobolli UP 2.7pp · near-book depth $9.9K → $171 · 20s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Flavio Cobolli; negative values favor Grigor Dimitrov. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFlavio Cobolli · $0
6hFlavio Cobolli · $12.9K
24hFlavio Cobolli · $14.3K

Flavio Cobolli price VWAP

Volume-weighted Flavio Cobolli price. Grigor Dimitrov fills are converted to the complementary Flavio Cobolli probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h72.22¢▲ above by 27.7pp
VWAP 7d72.22¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Flavio Cobolli price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$30.9K
90¢
$4.2K
85¢
$20.6K
80¢
$10.3K
75¢
$12.8K
70¢
$10.5K
65¢
$24.6K
60¢
$11.7K
55¢
$11.0K
50¢
$19.0K
45¢
$24.6K
40¢
$1.2K
35¢
$199
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

dmoralezFlavio Cobolli$16.3K
BUY VWAP 73.06¢·11 fills
0x076d…8d4cFlavio Cobolli$12.9K
BUY VWAP 52.69¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.