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Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger

Sports→TennisSettlement: Ashlyn KruegerLiquidity: $74.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $384.4KEvent: Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger
0.0¢
Talia Gibson payout
100.0¢
Ashlyn Krueger payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:100 trades$156.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 84 min agoofficial metadata 44 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Talia Gibson · $15.6K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$40.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTalia Gibson$27.7K@ 42¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Ashlyn Krueger. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-30 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Talia Gibson and Ashlyn Krueger in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Talia Gibson' if Talia Gibson advances against Ashlyn Krueger. This market will resolve to 'Ashlyn Krueger' if Ashlyn Krueger advances against Talia Gibson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 45m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 45m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
neutralwave232 linked markets · $267 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Ashlyn Krueger2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Ashlyn Krueger@ 83.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Talia Gibson@ 47.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -35.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Ashlyn Krueger UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $82.2K → $46.1K · 15s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Talia Gibson; negative values favor Ashlyn Krueger. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTalia Gibson · $22.5K
6hTalia Gibson · $17.3K
24hTalia Gibson · $20.1K

Talia Gibson price VWAP

Volume-weighted Talia Gibson price. Ashlyn Krueger fills are converted to the complementary Talia Gibson probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h20.7¢▼ below by 20.7pp
VWAP 7d20.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Talia Gibson price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$6.5K
40¢
$37.6K
35¢
$1
30¢
$17.4K
25¢
$19.8K
20¢
$3.6K
15¢
$27
10¢
$13.4K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$58.6K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAshlyn Krueger$20.4K@ 99.9¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTalia Gibson$27.7K@ 42.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesAshlyn Krueger$38.6K
BUY VWAP 77.1¢·19 fills
0x2c33…0563Talia Gibson$27.7K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·1 fill
MastermoneyTalia Gibson$13.2K
BUY VWAP 24.6¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.