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Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Beijing Royal Fighters

● quote 1013 min ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $91.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $140.9KEvent: Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Beijing Royal Fighters

Indicative prices · 1013 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Guangzhou Loong Lions
0.1¢
Beijing Royal Fighters
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets26Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution29Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:89 trades$44.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1133 min agoofficial metadata 1016 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Beijing Royal Fighters · $299 net·6 wallets·$4.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGuangzhou Loong Lions$23.3K@ 99¢·BIAVN

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$44.7K

6 verified profitable wallets: Beijing Royal Fighters · $299 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 1013 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 1133 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 1016 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 11:35 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.flashscore.com/basketball/china/cba
Outcome meaning

•If the Guangzhou Loong Lions win, the market will resolve to "Guangzhou Loong Lions".

•If the Beijing Royal Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Beijing Royal Fighters".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 27 at 7:35AM ET: If the Guangzhou Loong Lions win, the market will resolve to "Guangzhou Loong Lions". If the Beijing Royal Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Beijing Royal Fighters". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
QuentinChen2 linked markets · $4.4K gross
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $2.5K gross
0x78b3…65a12 linked markets · $5 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Beijing Royal Fighters DOWN 10.0pp · near-book depth $550 → $68 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Guangzhou Loong Lions; negative values favor Beijing Royal Fighters. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGuangzhou Loong Lions · $0
6hGuangzhou Loong Lions · $0
24hGuangzhou Loong Lions · $29.1K

Guangzhou Loong Lions price VWAP

Volume-weighted Guangzhou Loong Lions price. Beijing Royal Fighters fills are converted to the complementary Guangzhou Loong Lions probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h89.66¢▲ above by 10.2pp
VWAP 7d86.75¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Guangzhou Loong Lions price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$27.9K
90¢
$9.3K
85¢
$0
80¢
$729
75¢
$86
70¢
$50
65¢
$322
60¢
$0
55¢
$621
50¢
$2.8K
45¢
$1.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$1.1K
30¢
$19
25¢
$2.5K
20¢
$185
15¢
$0
10¢
$1
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGuangzhou Loong Lions$23.3K@ 98.56¢
BIAVN0x7120…7c4e
🐋—about 19 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BIAVNGuangzhou Loong Lions$33.2K
BUY VWAP 93.70¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.