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CSKA Moscow vs. Parma Perm

● quote 614 min ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $12.3KEvent: CSKA Moscow vs. Parma Perm

Indicative prices · 614 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
CSKA Moscow
0.1¢
Parma Perm
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:16 trades$2.7K trackedsource coverage 22%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 723 min agoofficial metadata 618 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLCSKA Moscow$2.3K@ 100¢·madkkee

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$2.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: Parma Perm · $312 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 614 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 723 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 16:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.vtb-league.com/en/
Outcome meaning

•If the CSKA Moscow win, the market will resolve to "CSKA Moscow".

•If the Parma Perm win, the market will resolve to "Parma Perm".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming VTB United League game, scheduled for October 27 at 12:30PM ET: If the CSKA Moscow win, the market will resolve to "CSKA Moscow". If the Parma Perm win, the market will resolve to "Parma Perm". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor CSKA Moscow; negative values favor Parma Perm. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCSKA Moscow · $0
6hCSKA Moscow · $0
24hParma Perm · $2.7K

CSKA Moscow price VWAP

Volume-weighted CSKA Moscow price. Parma Perm fills are converted to the complementary CSKA Moscow probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h97.42¢▲ above by 2.5pp
VWAP 7d97.37¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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CSKA Moscow price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.3K
90¢
$28
85¢
$0
80¢
$334
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.