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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Yokohama BayStars

Sports→BaseballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $6.7KEvent: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Yokohama BayStars

Polymarket indicative prices · 1 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

96.0¢
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
4.0¢
Yokohama BayStars
—
Spread
anomaly2Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:5 trades$1.9K trackedsource coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFukuoka SoftBank Hawks$1.9K@ 67¢·TheoThanlwin

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$1
6h
+$1.9K
tracked
$1.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: Yokohama BayStars · $40 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-04 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://npb.jp/
Outcome meaning

•If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks".

•If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for October 28 at 5:00AM ET: If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks; negative values favor Yokohama BayStars. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYokohama BayStars · $1
6hFukuoka SoftBank Hawks · $1.9K
24hFukuoka SoftBank Hawks · $1.9K

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks price. Yokohama BayStars fills are converted to the complementary Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current96.0¢
VWAP 24h66.39¢▲ above by 29.6pp
VWAP 7d66.39¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$1
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.9K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$40
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.