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W15 Bol: Eliska Tichackova vs Andrea Obradovic

● quote 162 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $9.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $51.0KEvent: W15 Bol: Eliska Tichackova vs Andrea Obradovic
15.0¢
Eliska Tichackova
99.9¢
Andrea Obradovic
6.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution9Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 70%
24h sample:2 trades$41.0K tracked50% 🐋source coverage 80%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 298 min agoofficial metadata 164 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEliska Tichackova$41.0K@ 82¢·kalmal

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$1
tracked
$41.0K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
6.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 70% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 162 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 298 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 164 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-29 11:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Eliska Tichackova and Andrea Obradovic in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eliska Tichackova' if Eliska Tichackova advances against Andrea Obradovic. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Obradovic' if Andrea Obradovic advances against Eliska Tichackova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Eliska Tichackova@ 85.0¢20h ago
15m INVALIDATED -20.0pp1h INVALIDATED -6.0pp6h INVALIDATED -7.0pp
Latest book event: Andrea Obradovic UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $7.7K → $8.2K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Eliska Tichackova; negative values favor Andrea Obradovic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEliska Tichackova · $0
6hAndrea Obradovic · $1
24hEliska Tichackova · $41.0K

Eliska Tichackova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Eliska Tichackova price. Andrea Obradovic fills are converted to the complementary Eliska Tichackova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current15.0¢
VWAP 24h82.0¢▼ below by 67.0pp
VWAP 7d82.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Eliska Tichackova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$41.0K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
← now
$1
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYEliska Tichackova$41.0K@ 82.0¢
kalmal0x8e46…6c24
🐋—about 20 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kalmalEliska Tichackova$41.0K
BUY VWAP 82.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.