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W75 Saguenay: Sara Saito vs Linea Bajraliu

● quote 5 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $67.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $278.9KEvent: W75 Saguenay: Sara Saito vs Linea Bajraliu
100.0¢
Sara Saito
0.1¢
Linea Bajraliu
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets9Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution94Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:44 trades$76.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 70 min agoofficial metadata 39s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sara Saito · $5.3K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$59.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSara Saito$12.3K@ 35¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$3.0K
tracked
$76.1K

5 verified profitable wallets: Sara Saito · $5.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +54.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 70 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 54.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-29 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sara Saito and Linea Bajraliu in the W75 Saguenay, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 7:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sara Saito' if Sara Saito advances against Linea Bajraliu. This market will resolve to 'Linea Bajraliu' if Linea Bajraliu advances against Sara Saito. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Sara Saito2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Sara Saito@ 46.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Sara Saito UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $6.1K → $4.1K · 37s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sara Saito; negative values favor Linea Bajraliu. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSara Saito · $0
6hSara Saito · $3.0K
24hSara Saito · $3.0K

Sara Saito price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sara Saito price. Linea Bajraliu fills are converted to the complementary Sara Saito probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h52.0¢▲ above by 47.9pp
VWAP 7d52.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sara Saito price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.1K
90¢
$0
85¢
$3
80¢
$7.1K
75¢
$0
70¢
$19.6K
65¢
$0
60¢
$6.3K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$1
40¢
$5.3K
35¢
$15.9K
30¢
$0
25¢
$19.7K
20¢
$9
15¢
$147
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSara Saito$12.3K@ 35.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Sara Saito$30.8K
BUY VWAP 31.1¢·4 fills
ferrariChampions2026Linea Bajraliu$19.9K
BUY VWAP 23.7¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.