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Spread: Magic (-1.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: TimberwolvesLiquidity: $208.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $442.3KEvent: Timberwolves vs. Magic
0.0¢
Magic payout
100.0¢
Timberwolves payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMagic$57.2K@ 52¢·Talvez10

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Timberwolves. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-23 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Magic" if the Magic win the game by 2 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Magic" if the Magic win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 12d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 12d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Timberwolves12d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Timberwolves@ 50.0¢12d ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +26.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Magic@ 51.0¢12d ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -33.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Magic@ 51.0¢12d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h INVALIDATED -28.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Magic; negative values favor Timberwolves. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTimberwolves · $11.7K
6hMagic · $38.3K
24hMagic · $31.4K

Magic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Magic price. Timberwolves fills are converted to the complementary Magic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h48.24¢▼ below by 48.2pp
VWAP 7d48.24¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Magic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$191.3K
45¢
$8.7K
40¢
$66
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$4
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$11.7K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTimberwolves$10.2K@ 49.0¢
gvrgb326552g650x676c…e139
🐋—12 days ago
BUYMagic$57.2K@ 51.99¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—12 days ago
BUYTimberwolves$39.2K@ 49.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—12 days ago
BUYMagic$29.0K@ 51.0¢
Jokerxing70xe221…06f6
🐋—12 days ago
BUYMagic$33.7K@ 51.0¢
BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c
🐋—12 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.