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European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka

● quote 985 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $693.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $154.3KEvent: European Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka

Indicative prices · 985 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Tallon Griekspoor
3.0¢
Jiri Lehecka
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets24Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:105 trades$80.5K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1003 min agoofficial metadata 985 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jiri Lehecka · $7.9K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$32.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJiri Lehecka$10.0K@ 69¢·beeemw

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$80.5K

8 verified profitable wallets: Jiri Lehecka · $7.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 985 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 1003 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 985 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tallon Griekspoor and Jiri Lehecka in the European Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tallon Griekspoor' if Tallon Griekspoor advances against Jiri Lehecka. This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jiri Lehecka advances against Tallon Griekspoor. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
fastball672 linked markets · $1.4K gross
neutralwave233 linked markets · $175 gross
0xd9c9…66862 linked markets · $2 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Tallon Griekspoor@ 93.0¢17h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Jiri Lehecka DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $29 → $304 · 6s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tallon Griekspoor; negative values favor Jiri Lehecka. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTallon Griekspoor · $0
6hTallon Griekspoor · $0
24hTallon Griekspoor · $3.5K

Tallon Griekspoor price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tallon Griekspoor price. Jiri Lehecka fills are converted to the complementary Tallon Griekspoor probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h61.1¢▲ above by 38.8pp
VWAP 7d60.84¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tallon Griekspoor price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$4.6K
90¢
$11.8K
85¢
$16.6K
80¢
$8.2K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$236
45¢
$319
40¢
$7.9K
35¢
$1.4K
30¢
$15.8K
25¢
$12.5K
20¢
$177
15¢
$37
10¢
$1.7K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJiri Lehecka$10.0K@ 69.04¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—about 19 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

beeemwJiri Lehecka$10.0K
BUY VWAP 69.04¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.