PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner

● quote 58s ago
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $438.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $239.5KEvent: Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A
100.0¢
Inner Circle
0.1¢
HULIGANI
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets22Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:117 trades$53.5K trackedsource coverage 22%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Inner Circle · $4.0K net·12 wallets·$17.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYInner Circle$6.7K@ 43¢·0xf3ce…a57a

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Inner Circle pressure: $2.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.1K
6h
+$1.8K
tracked
$53.5K

12 verified profitable wallets: Inner Circle · $4.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 71% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Inner Circle or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-23 22:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Inner Circle" if Inner Circle win Game 1 against HULIGANI.

•This market will resolve to "HULIGANI" if HULIGANI win Game 1 against Inner Circle.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Inner Circle and HULIGANI in the EPL Masters Group A, initially scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Inner Circle" if Inner Circle win Game 1 against HULIGANI. This market will resolve to "HULIGANI" if HULIGANI win Game 1 against Inner Circle. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xa997…ea382 linked markets · $18 gross
0x1b44…14882 linked markets · $14 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: HULIGANI UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $328 → $1.9K · 7s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Inner Circle; negative values favor HULIGANI. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hInner Circle · $2.1K
6hInner Circle · $1.8K
24hInner Circle · $1.8K

Inner Circle price VWAP

Volume-weighted Inner Circle price. HULIGANI fills are converted to the complementary Inner Circle probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h62.4¢▲ above by 37.5pp
VWAP 7d62.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Inner Circle price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$16.9K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$214
75¢
$1.2K
70¢
$262
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$5.4K
50¢
$2.3K
45¢
$8.0K
40¢
$13.2K
35¢
$1.1K
30¢
$1.7K
25¢
$56
20¢
$3.2K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A
0.0¢$13.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner
0.0¢$2.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: HULIGANI (-1.5) vs Inner Circle (+1.5)
0.0¢$2.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: ICxI (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
0.0¢$4.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
0.0¢$3.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
22.0¢$1.9Mpriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.