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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $2.3MOfficial 24h Vol: $4.0MEvent: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
0.1¢
Bilibili Gaming
100.0¢
Movistar KOI
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets36Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 42 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:3419 trades$1.4M tracked1% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 52s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Bilibili Gaming · $76.6K net·42 wallets(2🐋)·$208.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBilibili Gaming$83.0K@ 83¢·Mooseborzoiii

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Bilibili Gaming pressure: $206.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$206.9K
6h
+$600.4K
tracked
$1.4M

42 verified profitable wallets: Bilibili Gaming · $76.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -39.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Bilibili Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 01:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Movistar KOI.

•This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Bilibili Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and Movistar KOI in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Bilibili Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 20h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Bilibili Gaming@ 40.0¢31m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Bilibili Gaming49m ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Bilibili Gaming@ 54.0¢55m ago
15m INVALIDATED -34.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Bilibili Gaming@ 83.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -44.0pp
Latest book event: Movistar KOI DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $2.1K → $11.8K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bilibili Gaming; negative values favor Movistar KOI. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBilibili Gaming · $206.9K
6hBilibili Gaming · $600.4K
24hBilibili Gaming · $619.5K

Bilibili Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bilibili Gaming price. Movistar KOI fills are converted to the complementary Bilibili Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h53.9¢▼ below by 53.9pp
VWAP 7d54.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Bilibili Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$594.8K
75¢
$3.0K
70¢
$15.5K
65¢
$97.6K
60¢
$45.4K
55¢
$52.0K
50¢
$67.0K
45¢
$25.2K
40¢
$44.1K
35¢
$47.1K
30¢
$16.8K
25¢
$62.2K
20¢
$41.3K
15¢
$31.9K
10¢
$12.9K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$249.6K

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMovistar KOI$16.0K@ 99.9¢
olegio0x12ec…41ae
🐋—2 minutes ago
SELLMovistar KOI$25.1K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—6 minutes ago
SELLMovistar KOI$15.0K@ 99.9¢
olegio0x12ec…41ae
🐋—14 minutes ago
SELLMovistar KOI$15.6K@ 99.9¢
MD140x7d78…29a5
🐋—20 minutes ago
SELLMovistar KOI$20.0K@ 99.9¢
callmenuts0xfa88…85a5
🐋—23 minutes ago
SELLMovistar KOI$18.2K@ 99.0¢
iWasEnough0x2160…4c78
🐋—26 minutes ago
BUYMovistar KOI$14.1K@ 74.0¢
Ja8880xf94a…396b
🐋—39 minutes ago
SELLMovistar KOI$20.4K@ 57.8¢
iWasEnough0x2160…4c78
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$16.6K@ 82.0¢
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$21.2K@ 83.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$83.0K@ 83.0¢
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$19.6K@ 82.0¢
stop1234444440x3f97…4059
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$32.8K@ 82.0¢
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$31.2K@ 82.0¢
meoooow0xd202…8973
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$15.0K@ 82.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$22.3K@ 82.0¢
meoooow0xd202…8973
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$25.0K@ 82.0¢0x246b…fb5b🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$19.8K@ 82.0¢
JohnLau0xff42…01a4
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$15.0K@ 82.0¢
btbx676714040x4283…fbd4
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$19.9K@ 81.0¢
kevinmeng0xddf3…8d34
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYMovistar KOI$14.0K@ 19.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 12 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

MooseborzoiiiBilibili Gaming$106.9K
BUY VWAP 81.3¢·3 fills
meoooowBilibili Gaming$53.6K
BUY VWAP 82.0¢·2 fills
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANBilibili Gaming$37.8K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·4 fills
kevinmengBilibili Gaming$29.9K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·2 fills
yong32Movistar KOI$26.2K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·15 fills
0x246b…fb5bBilibili Gaming$25.0K
BUY VWAP 82.0¢·1 fill
Ja888Movistar KOI$23.6K
BUY VWAP 73.0¢·3 fills
fkcvffcjtBilibili Gaming$21.2K
BUY VWAP 83.0¢·1 fill
btbx67671404Bilibili Gaming$20.9K
BUY VWAP 82.0¢·3 fills
zb8Bilibili Gaming$20.8K
BUY VWAP 70.8¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.