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Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui

● quote 82 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $686.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $142.9KEvent: Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui

Indicative prices · 82 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Tristan Schoolkate
1.0¢
Jie Cui
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets65Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:64 trades$48.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 109 min agoofficial metadata 85 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jie Cui · $15.6K net·13 wallets·$24.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTristan Schoolkate$14.4K@ 66¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$4.5K
tracked
$48.0K

13 verified profitable wallets: Jie Cui · $15.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 82 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 109 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 85 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-31 04:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan Schoolkate and Jie Cui in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Schoolkate' if Tristan Schoolkate advances against Jie Cui. This market will resolve to 'Jie Cui' if Jie Cui advances against Tristan Schoolkate. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Jie Cui DOWN 8.5pp · near-book depth $1.4K → $1.3K · 13s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tristan Schoolkate; negative values favor Jie Cui. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTristan Schoolkate · $0
6hTristan Schoolkate · $4.5K
24hTristan Schoolkate · $3.1K

Tristan Schoolkate price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tristan Schoolkate price. Jie Cui fills are converted to the complementary Tristan Schoolkate probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h61.33¢▲ above by 38.6pp
VWAP 7d61.33¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tristan Schoolkate price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$141
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.4K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$17.1K
60¢
$17.4K
55¢
$3.5K
50¢
$19
45¢
$4.4K
40¢
$82
35¢
$4.0K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTristan Schoolkate$14.4K@ 65.66¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cJie Cui$15.3K
BUY VWAP 39.36¢·4 fills
kkookkooTristan Schoolkate$14.4K
BUY VWAP 65.66¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.