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Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5

● quote 29s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: 21 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $79.9KEvent: Trail Blazers vs. Kings

Indicative prices · 29s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

47.5¢
Over
52.5¢
Under
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:10 trades$36.4K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Under · $4.5K net·2 wallets·$4.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver$25.8K@ 50¢·0xb4f9…c9a7

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Under pressure: $1.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.1K
6h
−$5.8K
tracked
$36.4K

2 verified profitable wallets: Under · $4.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 53

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Under or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Trail Blazers and Kings combine to score 234 or more points in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 234, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Trail Blazers and Kings combine to score 234 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 234, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xb4f9…c9a72 linked markets · $44.0K gross
quavoo6 linked markets · $42.8K gross
HomeRunHazard8 linked markets · $33.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 50.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h INVALIDATED -3.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUnder · $1.1K
6hUnder · $5.8K
24hOver · $15.4K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current47.5¢
VWAP 24h49.38¢▼ below by 1.9pp
VWAP 7d49.38¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$25.8K
45¢
← now
$10.6K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOver$25.8K@ 50.0¢0xb4f9…c9a7🐋—about 9 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
52.5¢$442.7Kpriority44Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
79.5¢$417.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
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Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)
56.5¢$112.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
59.5¢$71.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5
50.5¢$30.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
20.0¢$12.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)
63.0¢$7.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xb4f9…c9a7Over$25.8K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.