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Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Dayana Yastremska vs Xiaodi You

● quote 809 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $160.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $231.2KEvent: Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Dayana Yastremska vs Xiaodi You

Indicative prices · 809 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Dayana Yastremska
3.9¢
Xiaodi You
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:88 trades$101.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 828 min agoofficial metadata 809 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Dayana Yastremska · $3.9K net·11 wallets·$4.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDayana Yastremska$52.2K@ 75¢·Woaifacai

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$101.2K

11 verified profitable wallets: Dayana Yastremska · $3.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 809 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 828 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 809 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-31 09:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Dayana Yastremska and Xiaodi You in the Guangzhou Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dayana Yastremska' if Dayana Yastremska advances against Xiaodi You. This market will resolve to 'Xiaodi You' if Xiaodi You advances against Dayana Yastremska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Dayana Yastremska15h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Dayana Yastremska15h ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Dayana Yastremska@ 65.0¢15h ago
15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h INVALIDATED -44.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Dayana Yastremska@ 65.0¢15h ago
15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h INVALIDATED -44.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Xiaodi You DOWN 7.5pp · near-book depth $175 → $1.2K · 16s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Dayana Yastremska; negative values favor Xiaodi You. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDayana Yastremska · $0
6hDayana Yastremska · $0
24hDayana Yastremska · $95.8K

Dayana Yastremska price VWAP

Volume-weighted Dayana Yastremska price. Xiaodi You fills are converted to the complementary Dayana Yastremska probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h70.57¢▲ above by 29.3pp
VWAP 7d70.57¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Dayana Yastremska price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$117
90¢
$3.0K
85¢
$1.4K
80¢
$1.5K
75¢
$3.2K
70¢
$62.1K
65¢
$19.2K
60¢
$3.8K
55¢
$53
50¢
$2.2K
45¢
$78
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$148
25¢
$4.1K
20¢
$0
15¢
$1
10¢
$269
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYDayana Yastremska$19.2K@ 65.0¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYDayana Yastremska$52.2K@ 74.59¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 15 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

WoaifacaiDayana Yastremska$81.0K
BUY VWAP 72.01¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.