PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Raptors (-3.5)

Sports→BasketballCloses: 44 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $1.6KEvent: Magic vs. Raptors

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Raptors
—
Magic
—
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection21Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 51%
24h sample:4 trades$91 trackedsource coverage 6%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 29 min agoofficial metadata 288 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$19
6h
+$19
tracked
$91

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 51% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 29 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If Raptors wins by more than 3.5 points, the market will resolve to "Raptors".

•If Magic loses by fewer than 3.5 points, or wins the game outright, the market will resolve to "Magic".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Magic and Raptors, scheduled for October 30 at 7:30PM ET: If Raptors wins by more than 3.5 points, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If Magic loses by fewer than 3.5 points, or wins the game outright, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until completed. If the game is canceled entirely, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
monkeymashingkeyboard4 linked markets · $105.7K gross
quavoo3 linked markets · $19.8K gross
SunlineTicker2 linked markets · $17.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Raptors; negative values favor Magic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRaptors · $19
6hRaptors · $19
24hRaptors · $91

Raptors price VWAP

Volume-weighted Raptors price. Magic fills are converted to the complementary Raptors probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h59.23¢
VWAP 7d59.23¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Raptors price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$21
55¢
$70
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5
50.5¢$182.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Magic vs. Raptors
34.5¢$142.1Kpriority70Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)
46.5¢$112.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)
50.5¢$102.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5
53.5¢$39.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5
48.5¢$15.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)
—$3.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
—$2.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.