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Spread: Raptors (-5.5)

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 41 minutesLiquidity: $337.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $102.8KEvent: Magic vs. Raptors

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

50.5¢
Raptors
49.5¢
Magic
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%
24h sample:29 trades$38.8K trackedsource coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 32 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRaptors$5.1K@ 52¢·purplegatto

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Raptors pressure: $4.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$4.4K
6h
+$635
tracked
$38.8K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 32 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Raptors or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Raptors" if the Raptors win the game by 6 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Magic". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Magic".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 30 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Raptors" if the Raptors win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Magic". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
monkeymashingkeyboard4 linked markets · $105.7K gross
quavoo3 linked markets · $19.8K gross
SunlineTicker2 linked markets · $17.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Raptors; negative values favor Magic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRaptors · $4.4K
6hRaptors · $635
24hRaptors · $14.5K

Raptors price VWAP

Volume-weighted Raptors price. Magic fills are converted to the complementary Raptors probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h51.22¢▼ below by 0.7pp
VWAP 7d51.22¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Raptors price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$38.8K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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—$1.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

quavooRaptors$13.7K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.