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Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

Sports→TennisSettlement: Daniil MedvedevLiquidity: $264.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $842.9KEvent: Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
100.0¢
Daniil Medvedev payout
0.0¢
Nikoloz Basilashvili payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:206 trades$319.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 59 min agoofficial metadata 50 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Daniil Medvedev · $68.9K net·16 wallets(2🐋)·$87.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDaniil Medvedev$39.5K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Daniil Medvedev. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-01 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 51m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 51m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf640…02b12 linked markets · $780 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Daniil Medvedev@ 95.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Daniil Medvedev2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Daniil Medvedev2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Daniil Medvedev2h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Daniil Medvedev UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $107.8K → $20.9K · 31s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Daniil Medvedev; negative values favor Nikoloz Basilashvili. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNikoloz Basilashvili · $39.8K
6hDaniil Medvedev · $40.9K
24hDaniil Medvedev · $50.6K

Daniil Medvedev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Daniil Medvedev price. Nikoloz Basilashvili fills are converted to the complementary Daniil Medvedev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h81.3¢▲ above by 18.7pp
VWAP 7d81.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Daniil Medvedev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$82.1K
90¢
$28.5K
85¢
$188
80¢
$38.7K
75¢
$44.9K
70¢
$88.0K
65¢
$4.1K
60¢
$0
55¢
$29.4K
50¢
$3.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDaniil Medvedev$39.5K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDaniil Medvedev$10.2K@ 90.0¢
9995850x88a6…7e77
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDaniil Medvedev$17.3K@ 73.0¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDaniil Medvedev$17.2K@ 72.0¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDaniil Medvedev$16.7K@ 58.97¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDaniil Medvedev$12.2K@ 76.49¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYDaniil Medvedev$10.3K@ 79.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 9 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

WoaifacaiDaniil Medvedev$46.7K
BUY VWAP 73.50¢·3 fills
UpTheBluesNikoloz Basilashvili$32.5K
BUY VWAP 27.58¢·13 fills
999585Daniil Medvedev$28.6K
BUY VWAP 89.59¢·3 fills
kkookkooDaniil Medvedev$23.3K
BUY VWAP 58.98¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Daniil Medvedev$10.3K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.