Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5

● quote just now

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $172.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $119.3KEvent: Magic vs. Knicks

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

50.5¢

Over

49.5¢

Under

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%

24h sample:7 trades$56.0K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 356 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver$55.8K@ 50¢·monkeymashingkeyboard

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

+$108

tracked

$56.0K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Observed tape is 356 minutes old.
•Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-10-25 23:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Magic and Knicks combine to score 225 or more points in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 225, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Magic and Knicks combine to score 225 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 225, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

monkeymashingkeyboard2 linked markets · $76.5K gross

Lakersfan1112 linked markets · $32.8K gross

quavoo5 linked markets · $3.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 52.0¢6h ago

15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hOver · $0

6hOver · $108

24hOver · $55.9K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current50.5¢

VWAP 24h50.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp

VWAP 7d50.0¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢