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Balkan Botevgrad vs. Basquet Manresa

Sports→BasketballCloses: 8 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Balkan Botevgrad vs. Basquet Manresa

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Balkan Botevgrad
—
Basquet Manresa
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:1 trades$2 trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 379 min agoofficial metadata 675 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$2

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.eurocupbasketball.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Balkan Botevgrad win, the market will resolve to "Balkan Botevgrad".

•If the Basquet Manresa win, the market will resolve to "Basquet Manresa".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming EuroCup game, scheduled for October 27 at 1:00PM ET: If the Balkan Botevgrad win, the market will resolve to "Balkan Botevgrad". If the Basquet Manresa win, the market will resolve to "Basquet Manresa". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Balkan Botevgrad; negative values favor Basquet Manresa. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBalkan Botevgrad · $0
6hBalkan Botevgrad · $0
24hBalkan Botevgrad · $2

Balkan Botevgrad price VWAP

Volume-weighted Balkan Botevgrad price. Basquet Manresa fills are converted to the complementary Balkan Botevgrad probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h16.0¢
VWAP 7d16.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Balkan Botevgrad price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$2
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Spread: Basquet Manresa (-9.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Balkan Botevgrad vs. Basquet Manresa: O/U 169.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.