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Aquila Basket Trento vs. Buducnost Podgorica

● quote 69 min ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: 8 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $9.5KEvent: Aquila Basket Trento vs. Buducnost Podgorica

Indicative prices · 69 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

47.0¢
Aquila Basket Trento
53.0¢
Buducnost Podgorica
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution56Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 51%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:6 trades$238 trackedsource coverage 3%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 128 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Buducnost Podgorica · $109 net·2 wallets·$109 gross

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$8
tracked
$238

2 verified profitable wallets: Buducnost Podgorica · $109 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 51% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 69 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 128 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.eurocupbasketball.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Aquila Basket Trento win, the market will resolve to "Aquila Basket Trento".

•If the Buducnost Podgorica win, the market will resolve to "Buducnost Podgorica".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming EuroCup game, scheduled for October 27 at 3:00PM ET: If the Aquila Basket Trento win, the market will resolve to "Aquila Basket Trento". If the Buducnost Podgorica win, the market will resolve to "Buducnost Podgorica". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Aquila Basket Trento UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $6 → $104 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aquila Basket Trento; negative values favor Buducnost Podgorica. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAquila Basket Trento · $0
6hBuducnost Podgorica · $8
24hBuducnost Podgorica · $238

Aquila Basket Trento price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aquila Basket Trento price. Buducnost Podgorica fills are converted to the complementary Aquila Basket Trento probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current47.0¢
VWAP 24h46.47¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d46.47¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aquila Basket Trento price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$238
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Aquila Basket Trento (-2.5)
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.